Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Marijuana, Flavored Cigarettes, And Well-Meaning Thugs

Remember when we were all thinking that Obama would work to at least decriminalize marijuana, the first step towards a rational drug policy? Yeah, right. And, sure he will.

We're going the other way.

Now that Obama signed the bill transferring the regulation of tobacco to the FDA, we are finally ridding ourselves of a major menace: clove cigarettes. Here's a quote from the Fourth Estate:

This particular part of the new restrictions, the cigarette flavoring ban, is specifically intended to help reduce under-age smoking, to stop the habit before it starts. Many studies have shown that the flavored cigarettes appeal most to younger people, not least of all because it masks the harshness of the inhaled smoke and thus makes it easier to start smoking.

Some responses:

  1. This is an obvious "bootleggers and Baptists" situation.
  2. Clove cigarettes are monstrously harsh when inhaled.
  3. This law will barely, if at all, dent underage smoking.
  4. "Won't somebody please think of the children?!"
  5. This is the kind of law that technocrats love. (Technocrat: New type of bureaucrat; intensely trained in engineering or economics and devoted to the power of national planning; came to fore in offices of governments following World War II.)
  6. If you're a liberal, what will you do when the feds illegalize something you like? Nothing, of course, because you know they have your best interests in mind.
  7. This is the hell liberals want -- top-down control of our behavior in "our best interest."
  8. As our governments take over more than the half of health-care that they've already usurped in this country, arguments about the externalities of dangerous or self-destructive behavior will become ubiquitous (i.e. you can't be allowed to ride a bicycle without a helmet, white-water raft, drive seatbelt-less, or drink alcohol {what? you don't think that there are technocratic liberals who would like to prohibit alcohol?} because "society" has to pay for all of your health care.)
  9. A habit of thinking through consequences regulates most peoples' behavior when Big Brother doesn't try to cocoon them with legislation and taxes. These laws do the opposite. They infantilize us as badly as Medicare or whatever monstrosity we'll get out of Obama's push to take over medicine completely.

Monday, September 21, 2009

Jan Helfeld, pimp (not the ACORN kind)

Jan Helfeld is a gonzo journalist and a libertarian. He somehow gets interviews with pols in which he asks them questions about how they justify their stances on things like minimum wages, invading countries, and redistributing wealth.

Here are my favorite YouTube clips of his interviews with Congressors:


  • This with Harry Reid is Helfeld's most famous clip and this is of Reid saying that welfare was a failure.
  • Iraq War booster Heather Wilson contradicts herself regarding how much of a threat S. Hussein is.
  • This one with Pete Stark is saddening because he's the only out-atheist in Congress and I wanted to like him. It's impossible because besides showing many of the standard logical fallacies, he ends the interview by physically threatening Helfeld on tape and then (according to Helfeld) acting like a straight thug.
  • This is of Nancy Pelosi on how she can justify not paying the minimum wage to her own employees when she is a huge fan of a minimum wage, and ends with a weird impromptu speech.
  • These are of James Clyburn and John Lewis advocating for modern racism. Clyburn's self-contradictions are stark and hilarious.
  • Here, Esteban Torres has one of his aids steal one of the interview tapes. A large court settlement followed.
  • In this, Tom Daschle can't understand how making stuff "free" will cause people to use more of it.

In the UK the "public servants" must answer much more aggressive questions from much more aggressive people than Helfeld. Here, the "public servants" will go beyond churlish and into illegal and thuggish (literally) if they're asked questions they don't like by a calm, unthreatening interviewer. "Public servants" (especially from the ostensibly more open (D) side) should be ready for questions like Helfeld's, but they're not because our media spends most of its time tossing salad.

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Live By The Turnbuckle, Die By The Turnbuckle

My review of "The Wrestler" with spoilers.

It's a great movie, with an understandably high score at Rotten Tomatoes, but it's got a big flaw.

A digression:

One of my favorite customers (a bartender) has said that the first bar you work at is the last bar you work at. It's what Randy is dealing with as his health diminishes; he's now working in the small venues where he probably started. But this time around, these small venues are even worse because of the changed expectations of the crowds. Throughout the movie, there is the explicit comparison of wrestling to stripping, but the implicit (and more accurate) comparison is to porn. And as with porn today compared to porn of yore, the crowd's tastes are very jaded. They don't want doggy-style; they want bukkake and maybe "Two Chicks, One Cup." As such, the "match" just prior to Randy's chest-cracking is grotesque and hellish. Because he doesn't have much choice and is generally game, he'll accept the staple gun and the barbed wire, but it's probably not where he expected his career to end up.

But here's my real point: Randy is too good and sociable a person to be so isolated from everyone.

I'm not talking about his daughter. Their relationship would always be tenuous because when she was young he was a no-good, absentee father. I'm not talking about Pam who's fighting the reality that the best man she may be able to pull after a lifetime of poor decisions is the crass, broken (but charming, considerate, 80s obsessed) Randy. (But she gets it by the end.) I'm talking about the hundreds/thousands of co-workers, promoters, and fans who can't even be bothered to show up at his hospital bed. Now, there's no way that the grapevine would not lead to many of these unlikely ingrates knowing about his situation. And there's no way that none of them would find some way to help him.

A Picture Of Randy -- Two Lists Of Characteristics:

High time-preference
Not-high IQ
Forgetful
An industry-common drug habit


*****

Kind
Unarrogant
Considerate of others' welfare
Physically strong
Open to new experiences
Professional
Humorous
A willing leader and follower


The good hugely outweigh the bad. Randy forgets some of the details outside the ring, but he goes out of his way to please his fans and he improves every wrestler around him (who are best viewed as beefy drama geeks in the same troupe.) He's basically a lovable alpha male at the end of his career. Although he headlines the shows, he's not a threat and wants to see the youth succeed. In fact, in the wrestling world, every single person he comes across smiles and has a kind word.

But beyond just the hospital SNAFU: no job for Randy? Not one of the legion of people happy to see him notice his trip to the emergency room, age, scars, joints, and that he might need a job as a bouncer? Sure, they're not rolling in dough and he doesn't whine about his pains, but I can't think of anyone I've known who was as broadly popular as Randy, and I can think of plenty who received a LOT more care from their community.

The traits that make him endearing to the viewer would make him endearing to almost everyone around him. Unless you can swallow that they would all be ungrateful, inconsiderate, and clueless, they would support him and stop his self-destruction.

*****

Finally, his adaptation to working the deli counter was quick and awesome. Clearly, he could tolerate prosaic work by turning it into a silly drama, and if he'd had any kind of emotional support he would have given to the fan who precipitates his bloody, ridiculous, careful-not-to-hurt-anyone meltdown an autograph instead of a fit.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

The Five Reactions

Social creatures evince many similar characteristics, regardless of their species. Jane Goodall won't quit talking about it. But intra-human social interactions often look a lot like intra-canine interactions... which is one of the things that makes "The Dog Whisperer" the only reality-TV show worth watching.

Cesar Milan (the "whisperer") has elucidated doggie responses to other dogs as:

1) Flight
2) Fight
3) Avoidance
4) Submission
5) Dominance


Of course (as Cesar shows over and over) dogs view humans as dogs, which makes socializing dogs pretty easy if the humans don't anthropomorphize too much (but I doubt most people would let even children get away with the crap the dogs in the show are getting away with.)

But, people react to each other in one of these five ways really often. Flight/fight aren't common reactions, but you see them when the cops aren't around and the people don't know one another. Avoidance is super-common; it's often (but not always) associated with submission on the TDW, but some humans use it regularly just to stay out of a hierarchy which they wouldn't find advantageous. Submission describes the normal response of people who on first meeting praise excessively, laugh at everything said... Finally, you have the go-to of the alphas: dominance. The alphas set the stage, get the first crack...

Humans can be more genteel and egalitarian than all this, especially when they're immersed in esoterica, but they revert to the simple patterns the instant they drink, take drugs, get into large gangs, etc. It's as if the neo-cortex takes a powder. Mix a large group of friends with a few half-racks and send them outside. They'll quickly rank each other, they'll see non-group humans as threats (based on the others' group size), they'll yell at and push around non-pack members. The best responses to these types are to avoid them or to be loud, appear a credible threat.

******

The bread and butter of TDW is the segment I think of as, "Listen, Yuppie!" It goes:
1) Cesar listens to tales of the dog dominating the owner
2) Cesar tells the owner (who's usually surprised) that the dog thinks the owner is an underling in the pack
3) Cesar explains that dogs speak a simple language that humans can learn, that dogs can't understand "time-outs"
4) Cesar immediately changes the dog's behaviour and shows how the owner can maintain this situation


This segment-type is often peopled with career-track couples who've avoided having kids because of the effect on said careers. They think their dogs can understand English (given enough time) and that they will be permanently mentally scarred by some mild physical discipline. TTFN.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Life Is Like A Box Of Shock Absorbers

For social creatures, a key question is:

"How do I calibrate my behavior?"

If you're too scared to offend people, you'll limit yourself more than you need and enjoy life less than you could. But if you don't want to be kicked out of the herd, you'll need to curb your transgressions.

I once read a recommendation for down-hill mountain bikers: set your shock absorbers so that they bottom out once per ride. This allows the absorbers to sometimes compress fully while not constantly clanging. If you restrict the absorber too much, you'll never clang, but you'll also not experience the maximum speed and comfort caused by full absorber travel.

So, push your social limits once in a while. All of them.

A corollary to this is to not take offense to the somewhat aggressive behavior of others. They're probably seeking some negative feedback, which you should just give and move on. Don't throw a fit when someone pushes; just push back a little and go back to however you were acting beforehand. And don't be a passive-aggressive Seattle-ish type. Getting angry without saying anything is pathetic.

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

Lead Painters: Parents:: Bootleggers: Baptists

Creationists deride natural selection as "random." They cannot envision a godless selection process able to produce complicated creatures. They remind me of liberals who can't envision regulation of businesses by anything but a government.

The biggest threat to any business is that it's customers will decide to quit buying. When a Taco Bell in New York was taken over by rats, it wasn't because there was no government inspector. There's always a government inspector, but they fail constantly even though they cost a lot. So Taco Bell does what any corporation in this situation does:

Fire some irresponsible workers
Suck up to the untouched customers
Make amends to the harmed customers
See where quality control went haywire

Fear of loss of customers is the best kind of regulation; nobody has to be taxed to pay for it, businesses with a better track record will gain ground on consistent under-performers, industry leaders will find cheap ways to improve safety -- which will improve the whole industry when competitors copy the new best practices. All of this comes about because customers have so many ways to find out how corporations are screwing up. This guarantees incremental improvements and more efficient, cheaper ways to make customers happy.

So these are the basic reasons we don't usually need legislation to improve safety. The demands of customers for constant improvements and cheaper prices will drive corporations to find safer ways to do things than those that are now known.

But liberals can't accept this because they can't see how any process which omits government could lead to steadily greater outcomes and more order. They think it's impossible for the undirected actions of millions of individuals to have an effect on corporations. They demand legislative fixes instead. This is what leads to atrocities like the CPSIA which have the primary effect of removing competition and new sources of ideas for quality control from the marketplace. The key thing to remember is that with all government regulations, the public forces loudly demanding the legislation are not the only forces who quietly support it. The biggest corporations (whose screw-ups may have precipitated the liberal outcry for regulation in the first place) may want the legislation (with its increased costs) because it keeps new competition out of the market.

This audio clip is an hour long and describes how GM (with the help of some liberal do-gooders) screwed Honda with a catalytic converter. If you want to know how government regulations are impoverishing you, this is a good place to start.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

I Like It When They Don't Even Pretend.

The Huffington Post on CEO Bob Mackey: prepare to experience journalistic integrity:


As the NY Times write-up of "the most unexpected" sideshow to the 2009 Health Care Debate put it: "Reaction from pro-reform Whole Foods shoppers was swift and vociferous."

Mackey is pro-reform, which is clear when one reads his WSJ Op-Ed. If his plan (which is similar to that prescribed by Milton Friedman) were enacted, the changes would be monumental. But for some liberals (such as Brian Beutler from the NYT article) if it's not in the direction of a single-payer system, it's not "reform." HuffPost should be able to field authors who can differentiate between different kinds of "reform." (Since 46% of healthcare in the US is paid for with tax dollars, it's not as if there's no room to increase the scope of the non-coerced market for health care.)


Now the Change To Win Investment Group and United Food And Commercial Workers Union -- both a part of the Change To Win federation of unions representing six million workers -- have put out statements criticizing Mackey and encouraging a boycott of the store.


This is about as likely to work as Bill O'Reilly's boycott of France over their aversion to the Iraq war. It's enlightening to see unions acting like BO'R, though.


CtW called for Mackey's removal as chairman of the board and CEO. "Mr. Mackey attempted to capitalize on the brand reputation of Whole Foods to champion his personal political views, but has instead deeply offended a key segment of Whole Foods consumer base," the group's executive director Bill Patterson said in a statement. UFCW has begun handing out pamphlets to Whole Food shoppers. The group said Mackey's op-ed was an "attempt to undermine Obama's health-care reform." (Whole Foods is not unionized.)


If liberals won't give the CEO of even a beloved chain a chance to describe non-Obamacare solutions, then they are as blinkered and reactionary as conservatives who still adore George Bush. Most liberals don't even know that wage fixing during WWII lead to our current health care system or how huge government interference already is. And if they shut up people like Mackey (as CtW and the UFCW want to) they never will.


Not everyone is so taken aback by Mackey's suggestions.

Why the italics? Every single libertarian and most conservatives would prefer Mackey's solutions to Obama's. To paraphrase: not everyone thinks that Obamacare will destroy America.


In the Washington Post, Kathleen Parker declared, "Now is the time for all good capitalists to shop at Whole Foods." Parker's sentiments are echoed by several conservative bloggers and journalists. Doug Bandow wrote in the American Conservative that "it is good to see at least one company stand on principle." Blogger Radley Balko of The Agitator blog strongly concurred: "I plan to do a lot more shopping at Whole Foods in the coming weeks."


The author can't make a simple differentiation between libertarian and conservative. Radley Balko used to work at Cato and now works at Reason, both famously libertarian organizations. For somone like the author, the distinction may not matter, or she can't figure out how to research his history.

Organic Food, Purity, And Koreans

Jonathan Haidt is a researcher of psychology who has classified human morals in five different categories. Of these five, the one liberals tend to value the least in comparison to conservatives is the one most associated with religion: "purity." But, as Haidt points out in this TED talk (pretty long, potentially fun, but not necessary to the discussion) liberals have this thing for food which they consider "pure." It's the point of this post; why do liberals pay a premium for stuff that's classified "organic?"

Please read this piece before continuing.

As Dunning points out, industrial organic fertilizers and "synthetic" fertilizers are almost identical. Run-off from conventional farms can feed algal blooms, but if organic farms are big enough, their run-off can, too. And even though some organic fertilizers decay and release the principle three elements slowly, if the soil and plants they're with don't integrate all of those elements, there'll be run-off just as with conventional farming. Finally, USDA organic farmers are allowed to use raw manure to fertilize land for crops. We know what that can lead to. (Gotta avoid those scary "synthetic" fertilizers!)

On top of this, some non-USDA organic farmers use blood meal, which is a by-product of slaughterhouses. It's just dried blood, which when added to water is used as a fertilizer; when it's sprayed dry on plants, rabbits won't eat them. Think of the Venn diagram of organic eaters and vegetarians. Surely, lot's of overlap. I don't think these vegetarians realize that to avoid using scary "synthetic" pest controls, some organic farmers are spraying dried cow blood on plants and rabbits. Funny.

But it just gets sillier. Here's a paragraph from the legislation defining USDA organic foods that describes verboten material:

The term “synthetic” means a substance that is formulated or manufactured by a chemical process or by a process that chemically changes a substance extracted from naturally occurring plant, animal, or mineral sources, except that such term shall not apply to substances created by naturally occurring biological processes.
Question. What's a "naturally occurring" cow? Modern cows are bred to produce milk at a high rate and are probably unable to thrive in the "natural" world. What's "naturally occurring" wheat? Almost all grains are bred to have little relation to the grasses from which they originate in nature. Fruit today (including organic) is very different from anything occurring before humans started cultivation (key section from 00:43 to 01:10).

But the most ridiculous phrase is "chemical process." Our bodies and all other things biological are just masses of chemicals whose interactions are mediated by genes. Look at this chart describing a key process in all life. It's just chemicals being processed by catalysts! To an organic eater, when a company produces fertilizer in industrial quantities it's a scourge unfit for organic human consumption. But not all industrial chemical processes are dangerous, and the green revolution caused by the Haber process and similar industrial techniques is correlated with some of the greatest gains in human lifespan. Organic eaters have no good reason to think that the Haber process is unsafe.

Conclusion: there are few differences between organic foods and conventional foods. In a double-blind test you wouldn't be able to tell the difference and you're not earning more Gaia points by eating organic foods.

Conclusion 2: some cultures are more honest about their obsessions.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Free Market Darwinian

Liberals describe free markets in terms of evolution: "survival of the fittest... " and whatnot. It clouds their thinking, because in evolution the two principle factors are genetic drift (which produces new arrangements of genes) and natural selection (which kills off the less able arrangements of genes.) But free-markets don't shuffle and select amongst arrangements of genes; they shuffle and select amongst arrangements of memes. If a once-productive car factory closes and all of its workers get fired, its all because of a change of memes. The factory is no longer producing enough cars with the right features at the right price to convince consumers to pay for the cost of running the factory. What it uses is being wasted (labor, electricity, metal... ) because other factories or companies have a better arrangement of memes such as: newer tech, a corporate culture that's better at team-building, better engineering, etc. So those that produce more for consumers for less money with less waste prosper while those that don't... get new jobs.

Nobody dies.

(Unlike with natural selection).

Which is why it's asinine to refer to free-market capitalism as "red in tooth and claw." Losing a job sucks, but if a market is not clotted with government regulations, a new job is just around the corner. The thing that sucks more than losing a job is being stuck in a world where other peoples' jobs are protected by governments (through subsidies to Chrysler maybe? through growth of the government sector?) because memes are not then being quickly rearranged. They're being ossified. Twenty years ago we were all using cassette tapes. In twenty years I want whatever I'm listening to to make the mp3 seem as anachronistic as cassettes do today. The best way to achieve this, and equivalent improvements in other sectors, is to allow for maximum shuffling of memes.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Industrial-Strength Safety / My Review Of Fight Club 2

Not really... but the last time I saw this movie I was a corporation-fearing liberal/socialist/progressive, so "Fight Club" looks a lot different this time.

This is the movie's key dialogue, because without the misery of his job (with its fluctuating sleep schedule and amoral cost calculations) The Narrator would not birth the alter-ego Tyler Durden:

"A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field: A. Multiply it by the probable rate of failure: B. Then multiply the result by the average out-of-court settlement: C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, then we don't do one."

"Are there a lot of these kinds of accidents?"

"You wouldn't believe."
The women he's talking to is horrified. Hers seems like the right response to "the formula" but it's not.

Even cars that are well designed and manufactured will have occasional dangerous flaws. Auto recalls can easily cost tens of millions of dollars. If you buy from a car company that performs a recall every time there's the slightest chance of a rear differential locking up, you have to pay for a share of all of those recalls. So there's a trade-off between safety and price: cars from recall-happy producers will cost you more (and possibly a lot more) but you'll be less inclined to die on the freeway. And the obverse.

As a consumer, you should want your car company to use some version of "the formula." All it is is a way to balance safety and price (which includes X, recalls, car production costs, etc.) on an industrial scale.

Still think the "formula" is a bad idea? In a crash two major safety factors are weight and size. This is because the severity of accelerations in the crash is what leads to injury, even if everyone stays in his seat and nothing ends up stabbing or crushing anyone. So if you crash into a big, unyielding tree while driving at 45 mph (assuming you stay in your seat) you only have the distance from the bumper to whatever element of the car the tree eventually ends up wedged against to go from 45 mph to 0 mph. The longer the hood, the more potential crumple zone and the greater the distance of deceleration. Now, this is complicated by a head-on collision with another car. In that case, a big and heavy car is a bonus. The heavy car will have more momentum, so it will push the light car backward (unlike the unyielding tree) meaning that it will decelerate more slowly. The light car driver will be toast.

So, if the safety/money trade-off of "the formula" is so inherently evil, everyone who's enraged at this corporate amorality and greed should never trade safety for money. So why do people buy their kids used $3000.00 Geo Metros instead of the $35,000.00 mid-size Acura TL?

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Single-Payer Syndrome

President Obama wants a single-payer system. Barney Frank says that a "public option" is a necessary step to an SPS. Listen to left-wing talk radio (Stephanie Miller, Thom Hartman, Ed Schultz, etc.) and the message of the host, the lackeys, guest hosts, and almost every caller is that an SPS is the goal, a PO can lead to it, or (because they're confused) that a PO is an SPS. One of the most amazing claims is that a PO will act as needed competition with all of the current insurance companies.

(There is no way that all of these insurance companies are colluding in this country, requiring a government monopoly-buster. Blue Cross is not part of some health insurance OPEC.)

What's clear is that liberal America wants the Canadian system, or something very similar. A system where everyone has pretty equal coverage and no one pays for his own care directly. If they want cheap, steadily improving care, then they shouldn't.

High inequality of health care is good and necessary. Without it we will be much worse off. When new technologies/services reach the market (GPS systems, media players, laser eye surgery, car "improvements") the initial buyers tend to by richer, smarter, and savvier than late-adopters. These early products are buggy, expensive, and sometimes useless. As newer versions reach late-adopters, they've been refined and the methods by which they're produced better routinized. This means that late-adopters gain by the pain and loss of pioneers... and any time the rich/savvy will volunteer to be Guinea pigs, you know you have a working system. Early adoption is status-seeking and sometimes pays off, but the safe way to buy new tech or services is to wait.

Consider the PC. Early adopters got something like this (or worse). It was a marvel then, a paper-weight now, and cost over $4000 (inflation-adjusted) for the 4K RAM model. Wal-Mart sells a laptop for $300.00 now and we'll probably see netbooks near $100.00 in less than a year. These price drops and improvements are the result of a market much closer to free than the one Americans supposedly have in health care (with 46% of it paid for by governments.) Why do liberals want to avoid voluntary markets for health care? I think it's because they prefer slow improvements if everyone has equal care.

The CEO of Whole Foods was channeling Milton Friedman when he wrote his recent article. The Friedman piece is long, but describes how even George Bush could get things right once in a while.

And SPS advocates keep espousing price controls as a good way to drop prices. Lunacy. As the Friedman piece points out, we got our crummy current system as a result of price controls, and we all know that with price controls you often get some version of this. Just because the negative consequences of price controls in some markets are not as visible as those for gas doesn't mean they aren't there.

Finally, SPS advocates allude to the small minority who are uninsured. If they really care about this problem, they can voluntarily contribute to a fund to produce a liberal insurance company (not-for-profit, of course) and wipe this problem out. Politically active liberals spend their time figuring out ways to force people they don't like to pay for fantasy programs instead of just solving problems themselves. The time spent scheming at Daily Kos could be channeled into non-coercive solutions (like, why not just make DKos into a primary planning/funding site right now?) but it never is. Why is that?

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Variations On The Baby Drop

Video 1.

Video 2.

V1 has the biggest single advantage, which is that the babies are tossed not once, but twice (due to the rebound) and caught with some panache. But the babies are unclothed, and I was raised by dour Christians who don't approve of public nudity.

In V2 the babies are fully and ostentatiously dressed (as are most in the crowd) but the babies just land with a splat. I'm not sure what imprecations the Baby Drop Guy was yelling in V1, but the tone and final call make it sound as if he's running some kind of auction in this one.

If "MTV Sports" had run this the lead-in would have been, "Air! Baby! Punjabi!"

Monday, August 17, 2009

What two words alliterate, describe a non-existent liberal problem of today, and usurp the tone of a non-existent conservative problem from the '60s?

Regarding inner-cities:

"Nutritious food is becoming a luxury item and increasingly inaccessible to an ever larger number of people," Adam Drewnowski, director of the University of Washington's Center for Public Health Nutrition, has said


Dean Ornish (Bill Clinton’s much-ignored health consultant) has shown that the principle way to avoid or stave off most of the killers of Westerners (such as atherosclerosis and diabetes) is to adopt a diet which:

Is comprised mostly of beans, vegetables, fruits, and grains
Uses simple sugars and animal-derived foods sparingly
Avoids trans-fats and other freakish fats


This is not news and Dean is not alone in his conclusions. Bill Clinton’s bigget problem is that he never put down the cheeseburgers, but if he’d heeded Ornish’s message he would have avoided much pain.

So, let’s address the quote with a hypothetical low-income, low-mobility grandmother who lives in Seattle close to the corner of S Orcas St and Renton Ave S, has no car, is not car-pooling, doesn’t know mayor Nickels, has undependable friends, and can‘t carry very much. How does she stock the larder?

Bus to the Cash-N-Carry at 1915 21st Ave S. Cost to her: 30 minutes, short walk, and her bus pass.
Buy 25 lb bag of brown rice, 25 lb bag of lentils, one gallon peanut oil, 10 lbs onions, 10 lbs potatoes, and 1 lb bacon (some people seem to need meat, and bacon is noticeable even in tiny amounts)
Cost: $65.00?

Cab home: $16.00 (11.00 for fare and 5.00 to bribe the driver to carry the groceries inside.)


Now, what has she bought for $71.00 and 1.5 hours of moseying/shopping? About 100,000 fairly healthy calories, enough for a sedentary person to live off of for two months. Obviously, this is not the only food she would eat, but it could easily be her primary stock and would require few additions. Even if she has no one else to depend on, if she uses the simple method of bussing to and cabbing from, she can buy lots of foods from restaurant supply stores that last for months in a closet/pantry and large bags of frozen vegetables which last for months in a freezer from any lame to reasonable grocery store. Pedestrian produce like apples and bananas can be found anywhere, including 7-11s.

So, who would eat like this? I would, and have, and prefer to. After October of ‘08 I decided I wanted to have months worth of food around in case of three contingencies, and ate for several weeks foods like:

Potato lentil soup:
1 cup lentils
4 cups water
1 medium onion (small chunks)
1 medium potato (big chunks)
2 t Better Than Bullion (approximately)

Simmered or pressure-cooked until the lentils are al dente. Finished with lemon and black or red pepper. This is one of my favorite foods.

Brown rice with frozen vegetables, garlic, soy sauce, lima beans, navy beans, black-eyed peas, pinto beans, or many other choices.


So, this Drewnowski character and anyone else who says something about an American inner-city like, “nutritious food is becoming a luxury item…” is bucking for grant money or a job, is a liar, or is a satanist. In America, the only things keeping people from healthy groceries are their parents, their own choices, or the inability to round up an average of a few dollars daily (at most) from somewhere or someone. We don't need "federal New Market Tax Credits" to close the "Grocery Gap" or any other subsidy to provide food. All that's required is ten minutes of thought from a reformed liberal and the will to eat well.

Sunday, August 2, 2009

Swap Paradigms: Because If The Only Way To Maintain Your Worldview Is To Never Seriously Consider A Different One...

When you care about politics you spend a lot of time arguing with people. Once in a while you'd like to convince them that you're right (unless you just enjoy arguing) but this never seems to happen.

Why?

The biggest reason is confirmation bias; we only seek evidence that supports our current beliefs instead of evidence that counters these beliefs. So, in 2003 you may have witnessed "arguments" that went something like this:

Dave: "Now that Saddam has allowed the inspectors in and we've seen all of his palaces, old weapons factories, and weapons caches, it's looking as if Saddam doesn't have WMDs."
Barry: "But Saddam is blocking the exit of some of the families of his WMD scientists. Saddam must have WMDs."

Dave: "Now that we've been in Iraq for several months and have found absolutely no WMDs, I think it's time to admit that this WMD thing was a mistake."
Barry: "We've only been looking for six months and we found some shell that had sarin at some point! If you don't support the war, then you don't support the troops."

In the first, Barry responds normally; if your opponent makes a good point, rush past it, make a weak counter-assertion and restate your point. FOX news is all he watches, he has a poster of George Bush over his bed, and Bill Kristol is his favorite intellectual, so he's not hearing much counter-evidence and he's not interested in it when it's offered. In the second, Barry is probably in pain because FOX news has promised and not delivered to him proof of WMDs many, many times. But he is still convinced that Saddam had them, so he implies that Dave is a traitor. Barry has one goal: to maintain the mindset Bush put him in prior to the war.

So, how do we sidestep this confirmation bias? With a paradigm swap.

A paradigm swap can be something as simple as a trade of Wikipedia entries. I'm a born-again libertarian (ex-socialist) and I think that most government regulations are superfluous, impoverishing, or were enacted only to enrich allies of legislators. So, I would trade this entry for whatever entry a progressive thought made the best pro-regulation case. Then, we would read our respective entries (which, at first, would probably look like heresy or gibberish) and actively seek ways to integrate our opponent's model into our lives. We'd agree that the next time we talked, instead of arguing for our own respective views, we'd discuss the strengths of the opposing views. We'd mention instances where the opposing views best described something. We'd try to make better cases for our opponents' views than they did. This seems way more interesting and useful than the usual jousting.

I want to test paradigm swaps because I've found that liberals don't just believe that my politics are wrong, but have never heard the best evidence or have badly misunderstood it. They often can't describe the push and pull of greed and prudence associated with "profit and loss." They're convinced that free-market capitalism is brutal but have never considered how much governments coerce people in comparison to how much corporations do. I'm willing to assimilate much Zinn or Krugman if it will convince some smart progressive to consider this and how it could apply to single-payer health care.

How far could a paradigm swap go?

It could go as far as:

Paul Krugman (or some other liberal intellectual) arguing for purely free-market health care while Bob Higgs (or some other extreme libertarian) argues the side of single-payer health care.

You getting your Republican uncle to read Understanding Power by Noam Chomsky in exchange for you reading Skousen's Economic Logic.

You reading every post of John Stossel's for a week while your libertarian friend reads every post of Matthew Yglesias'.

But it probably makes more sense to swap short entries or mental models.

This sounds kind of interesting, but what are the problems?

How about:

You (a liberal) do a PS with some libertarian and you really try to understand his viewpoint, but when you speak again, you notice that he can't fairly describe yours. Clearly, he didn't take it as seriously as you did.

So, he's a jackass and you don't talk about politics with him going forward. Congratulations, you have the moral high ground!

Reading stuff you disagree with can be frustrating or migraine-inducing.

Sure, but you know that a reliable co-swapper is going through the same thing, will soon prove that he understands you, and may actually concede that you're right! That would be swell. Alternatively, you may permanently shift to his paradigm, which could be embiggening.

All is well.